Things sort of took a turn for the better today. I haven't actually played anything yet, but I got my moneybookers issues resolved and PokerStars caught some cheating fucks so I got some refund monies. That's always nice, I think? I'm gonna have a shower and then hit the games. I'm gonna play really focused with no distractions and hope for the best. It would be nice to book a win tonight because I really haven't booked one in a long time. It would instill so much needed confidence.
The thing with these Double or Nothings is you can't depend on the straight ICM to guide you through. If you did you'll see a lot of the results that I've been having. They are a different beast in the sense you have to pick who your stealing against much more carefully, and sometimes you have to let yourself get run over near the bubble because it's so crucial you cash; taking coin flips is just not an option in these.
I might be a bit hard pressed to get all of my volume in tonight since I slept all day. I'll hopefully at least come close. I've got to force myself back on a more normal sleep schedule so I can try attacking the games during the day to see if there's any signifigant difference. If I can dig out of this hole and get Supernova I'll be satisfied. If I can dig out of this hole before getting Supernova then I'd like to try my chances at the $100s again when I'm rolled. I have a number in mind and I'll stick to it religiously.
I'm trying to contact another good player to see if he's interested in discussing the dynamics of these games. He's done well over a significant sample across several buy-in levels and hasn't suffered an event like mine. I blame mine wholeheartedly on my own play at this point, but in all fairness I
am running terrible as well. It's a terrible combination.
Here's hoping things come together a little more today. I'm gonna shower and get grinding.
********************If this is a sign of the times to come, I don't want the times to come. Holy fuck. I'm still just getting slaughtered. I haven't posted a winning session in days. It's sick. Really, really fucking sick. I'm playing better today than I have been at least, but I still can't overcome. I've probably got two sessions left in me at this rate of loss before I'll have no choice but to swallow my fucking pride and move back to the $20s. I'm just getting murdered. I just can't pinpoint what I'm doing. I know the last few days have just been terrible play, but even playing my best I still can't book wins.
I'm really hoping tomorrow I can finally turn things around. I'm gonna leave things where they're at tomorrow and try to get a decent night's rest so I can play some in the afternoon rather than sleep it away. I'll book all play at the $50s tomorrow assuming I don't drop under my BI requirement. If I do drop under the requirement and can't make a go of things I'll have no choice but to forfeit trying to get Supernova. Which is just awful to me, it's literally the only thing I wanted to have happen for me around Christmas. It's killer.
I'm gonna start talking to another player who's crushing these, we've AIMed up so hopefully I'll have a chance to pick his brain fairly soon. It'll be nice making pals with someone who's playing the same games, I've really had no contact with anyone else playing these outside of the forums and I don't feel the level of comprehension there is the greatest. I can't say much, I'm not sure my level of comprehension exists at this point.
If nothing will make you doubt yourself, having an awesome run at some games and then just getting murdered will really blow your confidence. I'm openly willing to admit that only a small part of this was running bad. The rest came from me letting terrible play creep in due to tilt. But even with recognizing this and now, at least today, playing better and still being slaughtered... it's difficult to put into words.
At points I feel drained from it all, at other times I just want to fucking overcome it so I can get Supernova without having to go broke online in the process. I could easily add a bit more to re-roll myself for the $50s if things continued to go bad, but there's absolutely no point in achieving Supernova if I'm no longer a winning player at the games I had planned to make most of my moves with next year.
It's tough. It's a brutal game. This is the worst stretch I've ever been through, unquestionably. It would mean a lot to me as a person to be able to find a way to get over this hump; it would be show real perseverance. I'm hoping I can manage and still put in the numbers required to get Supernova. It's seriously the only thing that's keeping me going right now. Normally if I was having a tough time I'd just give up, take a lengthy break, come back at it some time down the road. I've always done that. But it's cost me money in the long run because it doesn't allow me to advance myself, my bankroll, and continue growing.
Don't get me wrong, there's been no growth this past week and a half. If I can finish this month where I'm at right now I'll still be satisfied, but if I continue to get killed I'll be somewhat disappointed. It will still likely be my best month ever, barring some crazy tilt induced jump into stakes I don't belong. I don't see that happening, I haven't made mistakes like that in years and don't plan on starting. If anything is left in me for pride it's in my bankroll management skills.
If I don't make Supernova I'm not sure what to do with the FPPs. Actually no, I'm not having this thought process right now because everything is still ago. I'm not making plans for my FPPs because they're still going to be used for cash bonuses if/when I make Supernova. I'll overcome it and get there.
What sucks is that there's no levels in between the $20s and the $50s. If there were my moving down wouldn't be quite as detrimental. I could just grind it out, hopefully get things going and then get back at it. But if I drop below my required numbers for the $50s then I move to the $20s, where I'm incredibly over rolled. It's a major losing scenario from all standpoints. There's no way I could play the number of games required at the $20s, it's just not humanly possible with school and such.
So there's not much more I can do than hope tomorrow goes well. It's pretty much the deciding factor as to whether or not I get to get Supernova. I may adjust my BI requirement depending how things go, just because I'm going to be so over rolled for the $20s if I do have to move down. I dunno... here's hoping things go well I guess.